![]() The Boston Globe: Patriots Struggle On Offense, But All Is Not Lost Guestīen Volin, NFL reporter for The Boston Globe. It was a move that left many scratching their heads. Then, after winning the coin toss to start overtime, the Patriots elected to kick off rather than start with the ball. Tom Brady and the injury-ravaged Patriots rallied to come back from a seven-point deficit, dragging the division showdown into overtime. In the fourth quarter of Sunday's Jets-Patriots game, New York fans likely felt a familiar sense of dread. (Peter Morgan/AP) This article is more than 7 years old. Your best strategy for deciding on which side of the coin to bet on for Super Bowl 53? Flip a coin.Wide receiver Eric Decker caught a touchdown pass to put the New York Jets ahead 26-20 over the New England Patriots in overtime. It is similar to people telling themselves red or black will turn up on the roulette wheel because of a recent run for that color. ![]() You might think that means heads will go on a run, but don’t let any of this fool you into thinking the odds are anything other than 50/50. The pre-game coin toss came up tails for Super Bowls 48-51, and heads for Super Bowls 43-47. The coin toss came up heads last year, but prior to that there were some sizable runs for each side of the coin. But gamblers perceive any information as an edge, even if it really isn’t. Whether the Patriots choose heads or tails does not change the fact that it is a 50/50 proposition. However, statistically, the Patriots choosing heads or tails should have no impact on the outcome of the coin toss. People are likely betting heads because they have a good sense of which side the Patriots will pick, and they are betting more on the Patriots winning than anything. ![]() Matt asked him why and his dad said, “You know, God’s the head of my life, so I call heads.” That’s stuck with Matt and so he calls heads. Slater has discussed this proclivity, and he said it came from watching his father, Hall of Fame offensive tackle Jackie Slater, regularly call heads during his time with the Rams. The Patriots won the coin toss and the game in both instances. He made that call at the start of overtime in Super Bowl 51 and again at the start of overtime in the AFC Championship Game two weeks ago. This is not a 100 percent guarantee, but special teams captain Matthew Slater regularly picks heads when he has the call before a game (or overtime). For the Patriots, that means we can expect them to take heads. The Patriots are the road team (AFC is road team in odd years, NFC in even years), and thus get to call heads or tails. Why all the heads wagering? Sports bettors are regularly looking for an edge, and they think they have spotted one for Sunday’s game. At William Hill, heads has the third most number of bets placed (tails is eighth). ![]() At BetOnline and Bovada, 57 percent of money wagered is on heads. With the game just around the corner, heads is currently getting the heaviest action across sportsbooks. It’s hard to get anything close to 50/50 odds in gambling, so why not take your best bet there? There is actually some strategy to be found from a mathematical analysis of coin tosses, but for purposes of the Super Bowl, it’s effectively 50/50. A coin toss is generally viewed as a 50/50 proposition, and that might be why people decide to bet on it. One of the most popular prop bets each year is the coin toss. NFL playoffs 2019: Bracket, schedule, odds, and scores All the Super Bowl 53 prop bets to consider Final Super Bowl 53 point spread, point total
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